Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.105233 0.124767 0.146636 0.172890 0.203513 0.238060 0.279947
2025-02-02 0.075626 0.100920 0.132436 0.174410 0.228647 0.296154 0.386307
2025-02-09 0.057982 0.085049 0.121765 0.174811 0.249023 0.348610 0.491719
2025-02-16 0.047024 0.074683 0.114958 0.177206 0.270147 0.402729 0.604837
2025-02-23 0.040298 0.068574 0.112350 0.184031 0.297145 0.467040 0.739162
2025-03-02 0.032683 0.059342 0.103045 0.178549 0.303929 0.501344 0.832105
2025-03-09 0.027811 0.053564 0.098029 0.178646 0.318757 0.548811 0.949903
2025-03-16 0.023505 0.047881 0.092084 0.175948 0.328048 0.587714 1.057420
2025-03-23 0.020959 0.044937 0.090401 0.180271 0.349632 0.649026 1.208660
2025-03-30 0.018118 0.040858 0.085903 0.178589 0.359889 0.691386 1.330937
2025-04-06 0.015482 0.036684 0.080516 0.174285 0.364422 0.723542 1.437694
2025-04-13 0.013154 0.032717 0.074881 0.168564 0.365254 0.748539 1.533224
2025-04-20 0.011914 0.031014 0.073823 0.172354 0.386018 0.814581 1.715776
2025-04-27 0.010714 0.029183 0.072209 0.174746 0.404259 0.877789 1.899858
2025-05-04 0.009552 0.027213 0.069954 0.175353 0.418700 0.934763 2.077212
2025-05-11 0.008654 0.025734 0.068604 0.177804 0.437428 1.002459 2.283430
2025-05-18 0.008097 0.025060 0.069092 0.184662 0.466937 1.096016 2.553531
2025-05-25 0.006998 0.022642 0.064797 0.179165 0.466917 1.125117 2.686805
2025-06-01 0.006293 0.021217 0.062843 0.179263 0.480239 1.185231 2.894522
2025-06-08 0.005563 0.019559 0.059981 0.176556 0.486271 1.229192 3.069790
2025-06-15 0.005176 0.018893 0.059765 0.180894 0.510586 1.318218 3.357606
2025-06-22 0.004629 0.017584 0.057485 0.179207 0.519077 1.370254 3.563007
2025-06-29 0.004069 0.016102 0.054441 0.174888 0.520019 1.403915 3.727340